FANUC robot orders rise 21% as China and Europe pick up, and its CRX cobot draws more than 1,000 physical AI orders after iREX

FANUC said robot division orders rose 20.9% to ¥98.8 billion in the October to December quarter, while robot sales grew 21.9% to ¥96.6 billion. The Japanese robot and CNC maker raised its full-year sales forecast to ¥840.7 billion but trimmed its operating profit outlook by ¥3.0 billion, and said it had taken orders for more than 1,000 CRX collaborative robots linked to physical AI since the iREX show in December.
FANUC Corp. said on January 26, 2026 that orders at its robot division rose 20.9% from a year earlier to ¥98.8 billion in the three months to December 31, the third quarter of its fiscal year, as customers in China and Europe stepped up spending. Robot sales rose 21.9% to ¥96.6 billion, which made the division about 45% of group sales of ¥215.7 billion in the quarter, according to the company's results materials.
For the nine months to December, the Yamanashi-based company reported net sales of ¥623.3 billion, up 6.5%, and operating profit of ¥127.7 billion, up 15.6%. Profit attributable to owners rose 13.7% to ¥116.9 billion, or ¥125.23 per share. The nine-month operating margin was 20.5%, 1.6 percentage points higher than a year earlier. In the third quarter alone, operating profit rose 19.6% year on year to ¥41.7 billion but fell 4.1% from the second quarter, leaving a quarterly margin of 19.3%.
FANUC raised its forecast for the year to March 31, 2026 to net sales of ¥840.7 billion from ¥818.8 billion, an increase of ¥21.9 billion. It cut its operating profit forecast to ¥172.9 billion from ¥175.9 billion and nudged its net profit forecast up to ¥158.0 billion from ¥157.3 billion. In its investor Q&A the company tied the lower profit outlook to unrealized profits, citing the weak yen's effect on the valuation of inventory held overseas. It assumes rates of ¥145 to the dollar and ¥170 to the euro for the fourth quarter, against nine-month averages of ¥148.74 and ¥171.83.
The regional figures, which cover all divisions, show where the demand came from. Group orders from China rose 16.4% to ¥57.7 billion and sales there climbed 22.7% to ¥57.9 billion. Orders from Europe rose 23.4% to ¥40.1 billion, and orders from the Americas rose 10.5% to ¥59.0 billion. Japan orders rose 5.9% to ¥29.2 billion, while orders from the rest of Asia fell 10.0% to ¥32.4 billion. FANUC told analysts that electric vehicle and IT demand in China was robust, that US demand was beginning to emerge after a time lag, and that the European market had finally hit bottom and was improving moderately.
The headline for the robot business was physical AI. FANUC said that following iREX, the International Robot Exhibition held at Tokyo Big Sight from December 3 to 6, 2025, it had already received orders for more than 1,000 CRX robots in connection with physical AI, with further inquiries covering several thousand units under way. At the show it exhibited 63 robots, demonstrated four CRX based physical AI systems built with NVIDIA, and promoted an open platform that uses ROS for PC-based control. It said sales leads from the show reached 1.4 times the level of fiscal 2023, a record, and pointed to strong interest from shipbuilders.
The other businesses were mixed. Factory automation, FANUC's CNC and servo business, posted sales of ¥49.8 billion, up 3.7%, with orders up 15.6% to ¥54.7 billion. The Robomachine division, which sells machining centres and injection moulding machines, saw sales fall 8.0% to ¥33.0 billion and orders drop 20.6% to ¥30.8 billion. Service sales rose 7.2% to ¥36.3 billion.
FANUC, founded in 1972, makes CNC controls, servo motors and industrial robots, and is financed almost entirely by equity. Its equity ratio stood at 88.7% on December 31, on total assets of ¥2.02 trillion. In the first nine months it spent ¥34.6 billion on capital investment and ¥15.5 billion on research and development.
The comparison with its domestic rival is instructive. Yaskawa Electric reported on January 9 that revenue in its robotics segment rose 7.3% to ¥183.0 billion in the nine months to November 30, while segment operating profit slipped 3.9% to ¥15.5 billion. Yaskawa's robotics revenue for September to November was ¥63.8 billion, and it kept its full-year forecast of ¥525.0 billion in revenue and ¥48.0 billion in operating profit. Teradyne, the US owner of collaborative robot maker Universal Robots, reported robotics revenue of $89 million for October to December.
- FANUC Robot division
- Oct to Dec 2025
- JPY
- 96.6
- 21.9
- No data
- FANUC group
- Oct to Dec 2025
- JPY
- 215.7
- 9.5
- 41.7
- Yaskawa Electric Robotics segment
- Sep to Nov 2025
- JPY
- 63.8
- No data
- 5.3
- Yaskawa Electric Robotics segment, nine months
- Mar to Nov 2025
- JPY
- 183
- 7.3
- 15.5
- Teradyne Robotics
- Oct to Dec 2025
- USD
- 0.09
- No data
- No data
Figures as disclosed by each company; fiscal years differ (FANUC ends March 31, Yaskawa February 28, Teradyne December 31). No currency conversion applied. — means not disclosed in the cited release. Figures disclosed, not estimated.
As of Oct 1, 2026
The CRX line is FANUC's family of collaborative robots, designed to work next to people without safety fencing and to be set up by staff who are not robot programmers. Physical AI, in the industry's usage, means letting AI models that perceive a scene and plan a task drive the robot directly. By opening its controllers to ROS and PC-based software, FANUC lets outside AI developers, including partners using NVIDIA hardware, connect perception and planning software to its arms without rewriting the motion layer.
The quarter suggests robot demand is turning upward, led by China and with Europe following. It also shows FANUC trying to recast its cobot as the default body for AI software, a market that start-ups building humanoids and robot foundation models are also chasing.
There are caveats. The company raised its sales outlook but cut operating profit, and quarterly operating profit fell from the second quarter. China accounted for 26.8% of group sales in the quarter, which leaves results exposed to Chinese capital spending. Robomachine orders fell by a fifth. And 1,000 CRX orders is a meaningful signal of interest but modest against a robot division that books close to ¥100 billion a quarter; FANUC has not disclosed the value of those orders.
Investors will look for the full-year results after the fiscal year closes on March 31, for whether the several thousand CRX inquiries turn into orders, and for Yaskawa's own full-year results for the year to February 28.
MEKAWIRE analysis
FANUC's third quarter marks the point where its robot business accelerated, and the CRX physical AI orders show the company using its open controller strategy to defend the cobot market against AI-first entrants.
The evidence is in the numbers. Robot orders and sales both rose by more than 20% year on year, Europe orders rose 23.4% as FANUC said that market had bottomed, and more than 1,000 CRX units were ordered within weeks of iREX. FANUC paired that with an open platform based on ROS and a demonstration programme with NVIDIA, which lowers the cost for AI software companies to build on its hardware.
The strongest counter-argument is that the improvement is cyclical and narrow. China, where FANUC said EV and IT demand was robust, drove much of the gain, and the company still cut its operating profit forecast. The CRX orders are small relative to divisional revenue and their value is undisclosed.
Bull case. If the CRX inquiries convert and Europe keeps recovering, FANUC enters its next fiscal year with rising robot volumes and a margin near 20%. Its open platform could make it the preferred arm for AI developers who do not want to build hardware.
Bear case. A slowdown in Chinese capital spending would hit the region that led the quarter, and a stronger yen would compress reported sales. Physical AI could prove to be a demonstration market that generates leads but little recurring revenue.
Signals to watch:
- April 2026: FANUC full-year results for the year to March 31, 2026, and its first forecast for fiscal 2026.
- April 2026: Yaskawa Electric results for the year to February 28, 2026, for a read on whether Japanese robot demand is recovering broadly.
- Late July 2026: FANUC first-quarter orders for April to June, the first quarter in which CRX physical AI inquiries could show up in volume.
- ¥57.7 billion (+16.4%)
- ¥40.1 billion (+23.4%)
- ¥623.3 billion (+6.5%)
- ¥96.6 billion (+21.9% YoY)
- ¥98.8 billion (+20.9% YoY)
- ¥840.7 billion (raised from ¥818.8 billion)
- More than 1,000 units; inquiries for several thousand more
- ¥127.7 billion (+15.6%), margin 20.5%
- ¥172.9 billion (cut from ¥175.9 billion)
Why it matters
FANUC is the bellwether for factory robot demand because its orders cover the automotive, electronics and general industry customers that buy industrial arms. A rise of more than 20% in robot orders, with China and Europe both up by double digits, is the clearest primary-source sign in the period that the robot cycle had turned upward going into 2026.
The quarter also matters because FANUC chose to frame its robot news around physical AI. By putting a number on CRX orders tied to AI demonstrations, the company signalled that it intends to sell hardware into the AI robotics wave rather than cede that market to humanoid start-ups and model developers.
Rival analysis
Yaskawa Electric's robotics revenue grew 7.3% over its nine months to November, a third of the pace of FANUC's robot sales growth in the October to December quarter, and its segment profit declined 3.9%. The periods differ by one month, but the gap suggests FANUC gained relative momentum in the quarter. Teradyne's robotics business, which includes Universal Robots, reported $89 million of revenue for October to December, which shows how much smaller the leading Western cobot specialist is than FANUC's robot division.
In collaborative robots specifically, FANUC's CRX competes with Universal Robots and with Chinese makers that sell on price. FANUC's answer is integration with AI software and its service network, rather than price. The open ROS based platform reduces one of Universal Robots' long-standing advantages, its ecosystem of third-party software.
Valuation context
FANUC reported nine-month earnings per share of ¥125.23 and forecasts ¥169.32 for the full year. Its equity ratio of 88.7% and total assets of ¥2.02 trillion give it room to fund research and capacity without outside capital, in contrast to the venture-funded humanoid companies that are raising billions to build their first factories.
The forecast revision pattern, higher sales and lower operating profit, is worth noting for valuation. Management attributed the cut to unrealized profits linked to the weak yen's effect on overseas inventory, an accounting effect rather than a pricing problem, but it means the margin story for the year is flat rather than expanding.
Supply-chain implications
FANUC makes its own servo motors, CNC controls and much of its robot hardware in Japan, so its order intake feeds a domestic supplier base of castings, reducers and electronics. Rising robot orders in China and Europe should translate into higher utilisation in its Yamanashi plants rather than in contract manufacturers.
The physical AI push adds an outside dependency. The four demonstration systems at iREX were built with NVIDIA, and PC-based control via ROS means customers will pair FANUC arms with third-party compute and vision. That widens FANUC's addressable market but makes its AI offering partly dependent on partners' hardware roadmaps.
Signals to watch
The full-year results after March 31 will show whether fourth-quarter orders held above ¥98.8 billion in the robot division and how FANUC guides for fiscal 2026. The first-quarter results due in late July 2026 will be the first period in which the several thousand CRX inquiries could show up as orders.
Outside FANUC, Yaskawa's full-year results in April 2026 and Teradyne's quarterly robotics revenue will show whether the recovery is industry-wide or specific to FANUC's customer mix.
Analyst view
Thesis: FANUC's robot business accelerated in the October to December quarter on a cyclical recovery in China and Europe, and its open platform strategy gives it a credible path to sell into AI-driven robotics. Confidence: medium. The order and sales figures are disclosed and strong, and the CRX order count is concrete. Confidence is not high because the profit forecast was cut, the value of CRX orders is undisclosed, and a single quarter of growth led by China has reversed before.
The key test is conversion. If FANUC reports physical AI orders in the thousands of units over the following two quarters, the strategy is working; if the figure stays near 1,000, physical AI remains a marketing theme.
Questions you should be asking
What is the revenue value of the more than 1,000 CRX units ordered after iREX, and which industries placed them? How much of the robot division's 20.9% order growth came from China alone, given that FANUC discloses regional data only for the whole group?
Will FANUC charge separately for AI software or keep physical AI as a hardware sales driver? And how will the open ROS platform affect its service revenue, which grew 7.2% in the quarter?